Saturday, July 26, 2008

Tax Joy

Recently I listened to an episode of Fresh Air on which guest Len Berman analyzed the budgetary plans of Obama and McCain. They modeled the effect of each plan, inferring the specifics when necessary and using information on the current demographics of income.
IssueMcCainObama
Income TaxStatus quoMore progressive schedule
Bottom 20%$100 cut$700 cut
Middle 20%$1400 cut$2100 cut
High incomeExtend cutsReturn to 2001 levels
Loss of income tax revenue over 10 years$5 trillion (10% of scheduled revenue)$3.4 trillion (7%)
Alternative Minimum TaxRepeal (another $400 million reduced revenue)Adjust exemption to inflation (presumably)
Capital Gains TaxKeep rate at 15%Increase rate to 25% or so
Estate Tax$5 million exemption, 15% rate$3.5 million exemption, 45% rate
Corporate taxCut current rate of 35%-
Health careDetach health insurance from employerHealth insurance exchange

He added the following remarks.
  • Income tax: The top percentile earns 16% of the nation's income, the highest level since the eve of the Great Depression.
  • Capital Gains Tax: Low tax stimulates investment but also gives an incentive to make regular income look like capital gains via "tax shelters".
  • Estate Tax: Most progressive tax because it only applies to very wealthy individuals. It is also a backstop to income tax sheltering.
  • Corporate tax: Our current rate of 35% is among the highest in developed countries which encourages off-shore tax sheltering.

1 comment:

Pythagoras said...

Of late, McCain has described Obama as a tax raiser. For instance in his speech in St. Paul,
"I will keep taxes low and cut them where I can. My opponent will raise them. I will open new markets to our goods and services. My opponent will close them. I will cut government spending. He will increase it."

We Bean-Stalkers know better - both candidates would cut overall income tax revenue and both would cut taxes for most Americans.

Furthermore the above quote reveals a basic incoherence in the Republican Party that dates back to Reagan. It can be summarized as follows: Given an existing budget deficit we can reduce taxes, increase spending and balance the budget. Reagan represents nothing short of a revolution over Goldwater conservatives.